Has the World Cup Reached Peak Capacity?

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The conversation surrounding a 64-team World Cup has forced a critical question upon the football world: has the tournament reached its peak capacity? FIFA’s decision to reject the proposal suggests that, in the eyes of the game’s custodians, the answer is yes, with the 48-team format representing the sustainable limit for the event.
The push from South America to expand to 64 teams was a test of this limit. It proposed a tournament with 128 matches, double the number from 2022, and a participant list comprising nearly a third of all FIFA nations.
The rejection of this idea by the FIFA Council was a deliberate decision to define the tournament’s capacity. The opposition was based on the belief that a 64-team format would exceed the World Cup’s capacity on multiple fronts. Logistically, it would be a nightmare. Competitively, it would strain the talent pool, leading to a drop in quality. Commercially, it would risk viewer fatigue and devalue the brand.
This decision implies that 48 teams and 104 matches is the new peak. It is the size at which FIFA believes it can balance the competing demands of inclusivity, quality, and commercial viability. Any larger, and the entire structure risks becoming unstable.
Like any system, the World Cup has a capacity beyond which it cannot function optimally. With the rejection of the 64-team proposal, FIFA has made a clear and strategic judgment about where that peak lies.

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